Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.399110 0.460949 0.528307 0.607006 0.696310 0.794373 0.910086
2025-09-07 0.309649 0.397903 0.503504 0.638583 0.806134 1.006439 1.263288
2025-09-14 0.240109 0.334527 0.455764 0.621605 0.841117 1.120090 1.499588
2025-09-21 0.193274 0.288238 0.417583 0.604603 0.865645 1.214211 1.711366
2025-09-28 0.159992 0.253457 0.387553 0.591067 0.888485 1.302827 1.918089
2025-10-05 0.141722 0.236776 0.379502 0.605421 0.948908 1.445091 2.207518
2025-10-12 0.130666 0.228997 0.382782 0.635475 1.033313 1.626551 2.565686
2025-10-19 0.118316 0.217076 0.377649 0.651006 1.095749 1.778928 2.890863
2025-10-26 0.106136 0.203526 0.367882 0.657288 1.143028 1.910369 3.192198
2025-11-02 0.094432 0.189030 0.354538 0.655595 1.176162 2.020714 3.466712
2025-11-09 0.083240 0.173815 0.337980 0.646187 1.194695 2.107690 3.708226
2025-11-16 0.073724 0.160382 0.322894 0.637399 1.212724 2.193974 3.953032
2025-11-23 0.063601 0.144504 0.301784 0.616021 1.207609 2.242462 4.141014
2025-11-30 0.060987 0.143652 0.309208 0.648760 1.303197 2.471825 4.656384
2025-12-07 0.053305 0.130901 0.291715 0.631588 1.304410 2.534284 4.882592
2025-12-14 0.046645 0.119355 0.275192 0.614340 1.303416 2.591812 5.102636
2025-12-21 0.041157 0.109620 0.261218 0.600605 1.307604 2.658406 5.342587
2025-12-28 0.038586 0.106406 0.260868 0.615170 1.369180 2.836581 5.801053
2026-01-04 0.037411 0.106444 0.267688 0.645666 1.465494 3.087257 6.411802
2026-01-11 0.035259 0.103689 0.267825 0.661425 1.532230 3.284330 6.930898
2026-01-18 0.032688 0.099445 0.263983 0.667799 1.579379 3.445322 7.388692
2026-01-25 0.029888 0.094142 0.256962 0.666081 1.608637 3.571705 7.784618
2026-02-01 0.026945 0.087965 0.247056 0.656536 1.619682 3.661196 8.111134